Created: October 22, 2020 02:17 PM
(KSTP) - Democratic U.S. Senator Tina Smith is now in a dogfight to keep her Senate seat after her once double-digit lead dwindled to a one-point lead in our latest KSTP/SurveyUSA poll. Smith leads Republican challenger Jason Lewis 43% to 42%, with 12% undecided. Another three percent favor other candidates.
In mid-September Smith had a 47% to 36% lead over Lewis. Earlier in October she still maintained a seven-point lead, 44% to 37%.
"This Senate race could go either way and it's a bit of a surprise because Tina Smith has had a lot more resources than Jason Lewis," Carleton College political analyst Steven Schier told 5 Eyewitness News.
One thing fueling the tightening race is that Smith's lead among women and suburban voters has largely evaporated. Schier says ads some outside groups have been running with highlights of negative things Lewis has said about women on talk radio don't seem to be as effective as they once were.
"It's been a long time since Jason Lewis has been on the radio as a talk show host," Schier says. "He's been a member of the House. He's run for office for Congress twice and for some voters that's old news."
Smith led by our KSTP/SurveyUSA poll 47% to 36% in September and 44% to 37% earlier this month.
As of Sept. 30, Smith had raised more than $14 million dollars and spent more than $11 million, flooding the TV airwaves with ads. Lewis, by comparison, has raised nearly $5 million and spent about $3.4 million.
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