September 11, 2019 06:47 PM
After another raucious morning with storms and heavy rain, the afternoon will bring in a whole new set of elements to be concerned with. Perpetuating the same concern for flash flooding, now additional threats of hail, high wind and tornadoes will be possible with afternoon redevelopment.
The heart of this system pulls into central Minnesota being the triple point of airmasses and wind shifts. In the warm section of air, look for the wind shifts to be more inline for tornadogenesis. However, we will struggle to get the big robust instability in place for the strongest storms. More than likely, we'll be looking at a line or broken line of storms moving through with spinup tornadoes possible along them. Damaging wind will also be possible. The ambient wind will already be gusty, it won't take much for storms to accentuate this at the surface. My least concern is actually with hail at the moment but that can't be ruled out completely.
Timeframe of interest will be after noon through 6-7 PM.
Updated: September 11, 2019 06:47 PM
Created: September 11, 2019 06:45 PM
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