Created: September 09, 2020 10:42 PM
(ABC 6 News) - Former vice president Joe Biden is leading Minnesota by 9 points over Pres. Trump, according to an exclusive ABC 6 News poll conducted by SurveyUSA.
The latest results show 49% of voters favor Biden, 40% favor Trump, 7% are undecided, and 4% support other candidates. The poll has a 5.2% margin of error.
"This race in Minnesota is not in the bag," said Larry Jacobs, a University of Minnesota political scientist, during an interview with sister station KSTP.
"This lead can shrink. We saw that in 2016 when Hillary Clinton had a double-digit lead that shrunk very quickly to 1.5%," Jacobs said.
The poll results show Biden leading the Twin Cities at 55% to Trump's 34% but he leads by 48% in southern Minnesota to Trump's 44% of the vote.
Trump leads northeast Minnesota with 61% to Biden's 37%. Western Minnesota voters also support Trump at 48% compared to Biden's 29% of the vote.
The coronavirus pandemic is forcing more people to use absentee ballots out of safety. That could go in favor of Biden.
Poll results show mail-in voters favoring Biden by 55 points but in-person voters say they'll back the president by 27 points.
The Trump administration isn't taking it's political eye off Minnesota. Members visited the state three times so far in the campaign.
Biden has only held virtual meeting but Jacobs said he has to be on the ground face-to-face in order to maintain his momentum.
"It's six weeks out. There are a good number of voters who are still up for grabs," Jacobs said.
Voters also said they prefer Biden over Trump when it comes to safety and the economy.
Then-Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton won Minnesota by 1.5% in the 2016 election.
The poll also showed Democratic incumbent Tina Smith leading in the U.S. senate race against Republican Jason Lewis by 11%.
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